#prediction markets

Four prediction market platforms received formal inquiries from the NYC Counc...

Hook On May 12, 2026, the oil market dropped on a headline that, on its face,...

When a prediction market contract collapses to two cents, the immediate...

The data shows a widening divergence between corporate messaging and...

Over the past 48 hours, one number has been orbiting the crypto timeline like...

The fine was $35,000. That's the number that broke through the noise, and if...

Hook Forty-four state attorneys general signed a joint letter this week. Thei...

Forty-four state attorneys general have declared war on prediction markets....

Forensic mode: Activated. The data set is simple: a federal judge signed a...

Last week, a quiet transaction changed the nature of prediction markets...

A circuit judge in Minnesota issued a preliminary injunction last Thursday,...

The math is perfect; the reality is broken. Multicoin Capital and Hyperliquid...

44 states just fired a warning shot across the bow of crypto prediction...

Hook Last week, a sports betting market saw a player's return odds jump from...

The numbers are clean. They tell a story that every macro-watcher wants to...

A single data point from a PolitiFi prediction market is screaming louder tha...

The order book didn't lie. On the night of BLG's opening match in the 2024 LP...

The chart spiked before the coffee cooled. On January 15, 2025, as Bilibili...

A fireball over Saudi Arabia. A ceasefire in the Middle East. A former...

A prediction market is a system that formalizes opinion. On Kalshi, traders a...

Polymarket shows a 9.5% probability of Iran regime change. Code doesn't lie....

The 9.5% Signal: What Polymarket's Crimea Odds Reveal About Crypto's...

The probability of a sustained crypto rally on peace talk optimism was...

The fog of war just got a new price tag: 31.5%. That’s the probability...

The code whispers truths only the silent can hear. Last week, a tweet from a...

The ledger shows a probability of 47.5%. Not 50%. Not 40%. Exactly 47.5%. Tha...

The number sits on-chain, immutable. 46.5% probability that Middle East...

We didn’t build blockchains to watch regulators play tug-of-war over our righ...

A probability sits on the chain. 27.5%. That is the market's estimate—as of t...

On a quiet Tuesday in July, Coinbase issued a press release that barely...

The alpha isn't in the timeline. It's on the radar. US warplanes just hit...

The timestamp is 14:00 UTC. Polymarket’s contract for the Digital Asset Clari...

The Polymarket contract for "Iran will strike a Gulf state by July 22" hit...

A fire in southern Russia. A power outage. And on-chain, a binary contract...

On July 31, 2024, a market on Polymarket quietly moved. The question: "Will...

While the broader crypto market retreats into yet another bear cycle, a...

The bomb landed. Oil barely flinched. Within 24 hours of the U.S. strike on...

The 8.5% probability on the 'Ukraine recaptures Crimea by 2026' prediction...

Hook Look at the Polymarket contract for "Houthi successful strike on Red Sea...

Interactive Brokers reported a record Q2. $19 billion in revenue. $0.69 EPS....

The final whistle at the Al Bayt Stadium barely faded before the on-chain dat...

The 17% number sits on Polymarket like a fossilized footprint. For 72 hours,...

Over the past 72 hours, the open interest on Polymarket’s ‘Clarity Act Passes...

The ledger shows a stark number: 8.5%. On Polymarket, the contract titled...

72.5% probability. That’s what the prediction market said three hours before...

The prediction market says there's a 7.7% chance oil prices hit an all-time...

It was 2:47 AM in Madrid when I saw the Polymarket ticker flash red. The...

A Ukrainian drone strike hits a Russian military airfield in Krasnodar. Fire....

The on-chain data hit my terminal at 2:14 PM UTC. A sudden spike in volume fo...

8.5%. That’s the market’s current implied probability that Ukraine will regai...